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We're now in the thick of movie awards season, but for one night, TV gets to grab some of the spotlight. The Golden Globes always seem to make some out-of-left-field choices for its television categories — Julia Louis-Dreyfus has won five Emmys for Veep, but not one Golden Globe! — and without classic dramas like "Mad Men" and "Breaking Bad," it's been a wild few years. Newcomers like "Westworld," "The Crown," and "Atlanta" look to be big contenders, but you never know what's going to happen. Even so, here are TooFab's picks for what will win — and what should win.
GOLDEN GLOBE MOVIE CONTENDERS
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Best Picture, Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: La La Land
Who Will Win: La La Land
TooFab Take: It's been a decade since an actual musical won this category (“Sweeney Todd,” in 2007), in large part because there haven't been many options — the days of “Moulin Rouge” and “Chicago” feel like forever ago now! Director Damien Chazelle's movie is actually a throwback to the kinds of musicals your parents or grandparents grew up with, set in modern L.A. It's got two charming performances from Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone, and tunes catchier than any musical not named “Hamilton.” It's an Oscar front-runner, and a shoe-in for the prize here.
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Best Picture, Drama
Who Should Win: “Moonlight”
Who Will Win: “Moonlight”
TooFab Take: On the other end of the spectrum is “Moonlight,” an achingly beautiful and heartbreaking story about a young gay black man growing up in the south. Director Barry Jenkins, who hadn't made a movie in a decade, masterly pieces together three separate chapters, depicting three eras in the young man's life. The other big contender here is “Manchester by the Sea,” an equally heartbreaking (and at times darkly funny) portrait of two men in mourning. Both movies will also win acting trophies.
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Best Actress, Drama
Who Should Win: Isabelle Huppert ("Elle")
Who Will Win: Natalie Portman ("Jackie")
TooFab Take: Portman's got all the momentum for her stunning portrayal of a stunned Jackie Kennedy. The movie is set in the days and months following JFK's assassination, and she is suitably shellshocked. But she's also evasive, tricky, and keen to shape her own image, and Portman nails all those qualities — and the old school patrician Boston accent. She'll probably win, but for our money, Isabelle Huppert deserves the trophy. One of Europe's finest actresses, she plays a businesswoman who hunts down her rapist in Paul Verhoeven's “Elle.” It's a psychological thriller, and Huppert's performance sticks in your head.
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Best Actor, Drama
Who Should Win: Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Who Will Win: Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
TooFab Take: A lot of people have always considered Casey the best actor in the Affleck family, and this year, he's finally getting out from under big brother Ben's shadow (it doesn't hurt that Ben's movie “Live by Night” looks like a bomb). Casey's been sweeping all the critics' awards for his performance in the Sundance hit, in which he portrays a quiet man who can't stop grieving over a horrible tragedy that destroyed his family. He simmers and struggles, and when he erupts, it's captivating.
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Best Actor, Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)
Who Will Win: Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
TooFab Take: Gosling was great in “La La Land;” he plays the piano himself, sings and dances. You can't ask for much more! And he will likely win, and you won't hear boos from us. But c'mon, was there any funnier mainstream movie this year than “Deadpool”? (Other than “Sausage Party,” but lunch meat isn't eligible for awards.) Reynolds totally revitalized his career with that movie, which he pushed for years to get made. That he could be so funny and subversive in a superhero movie is even more impressive.
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Best Actress, Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: Emma Stone
Who Will Win: Emma Stone
TooFab Take: Annette Bening was great in “20th Century Women,” but this award is Emma's to lose — she may even win an Oscar. With Gosling, she forms the modern day version of Fred Astaire/Ginger Rogers, and somehow, despite her being famous for nearly a decade, she really makes you believe she's a woman struggling to even get an audition. Watching her fall in love makes an audience member want to fall in love, too.
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Best Supporting Actor
Who Should Win: Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
Who Will Win: Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
TooFab Take: You could make the case that Ali deserve to be competing for Best Actor, but he's guaranteed a win here. His performance is textured and moving, he's the face of the movie that will likely win Best Picture, and frankly, he doesn't have much competition.
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Best Supporting Actress
Who Should Win: Viola Davis (“Fences”)
Who Will Win: Viola Davis (“Fences”)
TooFab Take: Director and co-star Denzel Washington has most of the showy monologues in “Fences,” but it's Davis's subtle, steely performance that holds the whole film together. And her mostly quiet performance makes her incredible, ground-shaking monologue two-thirds of the way through the film all the more powerful. You know she's making sure every awards voter sees it.
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Best Director
Who Should Win: Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Who Will Win: Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
TooFab Take: Chazelle, who won an Oscar for his “Whiplash” script in 2015, is no slouch; he spent years trying to get this film made, and he put together gigantic musical numbers on the streets (and freeway!) of Los Angeles. “La La Land” is an incredible accomplishment. He'll likely be rewarded for it, and deservedly so. But Jenkins had maybe a harder task, putting together a difficult, moving story with several versions of the same main character, and shining a light on people who often feel left behind and in the dark.
GOLDEN GLOBES TELEVISION CONTENDERS
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Best Drama Series
Who Should Win: Stranger Things
Who Will Win: The Crown
TooFab Take: The last time a show on a broadcast network won this award, George W. Bush still had a few years left in his presidency. Some experts are picking NBC's "This Is Us" to break that losing streak, but the Golden Globes likes prestige dramas, and Netflix's "The Crown" is right up their alley. Other than Mr. Robot last year, which won the award in part because Globes voters also love new shows, it's been the Mad Men, Breaking Bad, and Homelands of the world for the last decade. The Crown, as both a new show and a prestige drama, is the obvious choice. Too bad — Stranger Things was definitely the biggest cult sensation, and a whole lot of fun.
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Best Comedy Series
Who Should Win: Veep
Who Will Win: Veep
TooFab Take: Somehow, Veep — the lightning-fast, savagely funny political satire on HBO — has never won this award at the Globes. Hell, it wasn't even nominated until last year! Time to end the ridiculous indignity now. If there's a sleeper, it's Atlanta, Donald Glover's smart and subversive comedy on FX, which had the best first season for a comedy in a very long time.
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Best Actor in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: Donald Glover (Atlanta)
Who Will Win: Donald Glover (Atlanta)
TooFab Take: Both Jeffrey Tambor and Gael Garcia Bernal, the last two winners, are back as nominees. But no one has won this category twice since Alec Baldwin back in 2009, so again, the Globes love fresh blood. There was no one fresher than Donald Glover this year, who wrote, produced, and starred in Atlanta, in which he played the struggling manager of a low-level local hip hop star. He was the glue that held the show together, and it's his best work as an actor for sure.
Best Actress in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)
Who Will Win: Issa Rae (Insecure)
TooFab Take: She's been nominated every year since 2012, and dammit, it's her time. Not that she needs this win — she's got a Globe (for her time on Seinfeld) and a crazy nine Emmys. But still, her work on Veep has won her five Emmys, and the Globes would just look silly ignoring her. But hey, experts are predicting that just may be the case, and a lot of people think her fellow HBO star Issa Rae, whose show Insecure was a breakout hit, could get the big win. Once again, it's a first-year show. Maybe Globes voters just don't like binge-watching and catching up to contextualize the performances in awards screeners?
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Best Actress in a TV Series, Drama
Who Should Win: Evan Rachel Wood (Westworld)
Who Will Win: Claire Foy (The Crown)
TooFab Take: We've seen plenty of Queens of England, but how often do we get such a human portrayal of an awakening artificial intelligence cowgirl sex bot? Evan Rachel Wood had a very difficult role to pull off, because she (spoiler) had to exist on multiple timelines, and had to navigate how to be almost human, but not quite. Plus, she had to fall in love with one of the McPoyles from "It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia." But if "The Crown" wins Best Drama, Foy, a more traditional choice, will win here. Both are first-year shows, so no one has any intrinsic advantage there.
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Best Actor in a TV Series, Drama
Who Should Win: Matthew Rhys (The Americans)
Who Will Win: Billy Bob Thornton (Goliath)
TooFab Take: What the heck's Goliath, you ask? You're not alone. Well, it's an Amazon legal drama, and apparently ol Billy Bob is really good in it. It hasn't broken out the way Transparent or Mozart in the Jungle has, but hey, it's a first-year show, and it was created by legal series mastermind David E. Kelley, so it has freshness and pedigree. Rami Malek, last year's winner for Mr. Robot, could repeat; he was just as manic and confused this year. But no one gives a better, more layered performance than "The Americans'" Matthew Rhys, who will likely get ignored again.
Best Supporting Actor
Who Should Win: Sterling K. Brown (The People vs. OJ Simpson)
Who Will Win: John Lithgow (The Crown)
TooFab Take: The Crown is gonna clean up. Everyone likes John Lithgow. And having just come out, it's on people's minds in a way that The People vs. OJ Simpson, which aired this summer, is not.
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Best Supporting Actress
Who Should Win: Thandie Newton (Westworld)
Who Will Win: Thandie Newton (Westworld)
TooFab Take: She had enough screen time, and import to the serious, to be a candidate for Best Actress, but instead of splitting the vote with Evan Rachel Wood, she's gonna win Best Supporting Actress. She imbued her role as an AI madame who slowly realizes she's a robot, and starts to take control of her “life,” with a fearless, badass spirit and deserves all the gold she can get.
